After half-watching a bunch of meaningless bowl games, I am truly thankful that the NFL’s Wild Card Weekend is upon us. I will be posting game predictions leading up to the Super Bowl. If you are a betting person, you can trust my analysis because my lowly Redskins made an early exit from professional football this year. Our local team, the Carolina Panthers, are looking good, too. They are off this week but they make a great dark horse candidate for a victory on Super Bowl Sunday.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts (Saturday 4:35PM)
The weekend’s first NFL game features a week 16 rematch. The Chiefs, a hometown loser in that game, find their fortunes reversed after starting the season with 9 straight wins. They have lost 2 straight games while the Colts are on a roll with three consecutive wins. The playoffs, however, are a whole different ball game as the regular season is all but forgotten.
I am picking the Chiefs to win this game because they will be featuring the best player on the field, Jamaal Charles. He averages 5.0 yards per carry and has been a touchdown machine in the last half of the season. If he performs the way he should and Dwayne Bowe manages to only drop half his passes the Chiefs will be victorious. The Colts’s Andrew Luck , however, will have to contend with a pesky Chiefs defense that can punish when healthy. I expect that defense to show up to this game even though it has been inconsistent at best in the second half of the season. QBs Alex Smith and Luck have very similar stats. It’s too bad the Colts’s Reggie Wayne is down for the count. T.Y. Hilton has come on strong as the Colts’s leading receiver. He and running back Donald Brown will have to get things going early to have a shot.
Final Score: Chiefs 24-Colts 17
New Orleans Saints @ Philadelphia Eagles (Saturday 8:10PM)
Saturday’s night-cap promises to result in a scoring extravaganza. The Saint’s Drew Breese has been here before but I can’t help but think that the Eagles’s Nick Foles and Coach Chip Kelley are the ones with something to prove. The Eagles are 7-1 going down the stretch and had to win last week to make the playoffs. The Saints, however, have lost 3 out of their last five. This game will most likely come down to who wants it more and the Eagles are the team with the hot hand.
I am picking the Eagles to edge out the Saints in this match-up. The big secret to this game will be LeSean McCoy and the Eagles’s NFL-leading rushing attack. The Saints are horrible against the run and I will pick any team that can hand wild-man defensive coordinator Rob Ryan a loss. Why the media chooses to focus on this guy during every game he coaches is beyond me. If you want to start a drinking game based on how many times he shows up on camera you better make sure you have a safe way home. You should also prepare to watch Sunday’s games with a hangover because you will be toast! Here’s hoping we will be free of Rob Ryan’s Captain Caveman antics after Saturday night.
Final Score: Eagles 28-Saints 21
San Diego Chargers @ Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday 1:05PM)
No one will be rushing back from church to watch this game. In fact, I will be picking this time slot if my wife mentions running errands or going to the grocery store. There’s just not a lot here to get excited about. This could be Phillip Rivers’s last chance to make a playoff run but the Chargers have a long history of wasting these type of opportunities (2009 team, I’m looking at you!). Both teams have won of late and the Bengals have scored a mind-numbing 76 points in their last two ballgames.
I am picking the Bengals because I expect the Chargers to turn in another low expectations affirming letdown. The Chargers do have the NFL’s fifth ranked offense but I believe the Bengals third ranked defense will put a lid on their passing and running attacks. The one player that excites me in this game is Wide Receiver AJ Green. He has led a team that has scored 209 points in their last 5 home games. If Andy Dalton can keep the mistakes to a minimum, then the Bengals are a lock. He’s only thrown 20 interceptions this year so there’s nothing to worry about, right?
Final Score: Bengals 34-Chargers 13
San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers (Sunday 4:40PM)
Of all the weekend’s match-ups, you would think Packers versus 49ers would attract the most fans and be a huge ratings win for the NFL. The only problem is that Green Bay barely averted a hometown blackout and needed extra time to sell tickets. Maybe fans are still wincing from the 181 rushing yards Colin Kaepernick pasted the Packers with during last year’s playoff game. It’s been a tough season for the Packers but they have reason for optimism. They have Aaron Rogers back, they just beat their arch-rival Chicago Bears to make the playoffs and they just secured the Lambeau ice-field advantage for the first round.
I am picking the 49ers in this matchup, however, because the Packers do have a lot to worry about. It mostly comes in the form of the quick-cut running style of Frank Gore. He should have a field day against the Packers’s less than impressive defense. This will help negate the Lambeau advantage and keep Aaron Rogers off the field. The 49ers also have the 5th best defense in the NFL. They will give Aaron Rogers, Eddie Lacy and company plenty to think about from the sidelines. Green Bay needs their own defense to come up big and opportunities will be scarce because Kaepernick has only thrown 9 picks this season.
Final Score: 49ers 24-Packers 17